Model and consensus lines

Week Market Preview

Read-only previewNo forecasts are stamped here
Line coverage—Spread and total available
Sources—Consensus providers
Model—Read-only comparison
Preview only. These are the latest lines in lines.csv. Nothing on this page has been stamped or written to the ledger.

Market comparison board

Filter the slate, then compare model and consensus in familiar favorite-and-total language.

Model projections compared with current market consensus
DateMatchup Game Shape V2research only Game Shape V3research only Model favoriteMarket favorite Model vs marketModel total Market totalTotal gap Books
How to read this: the favorite is named directly in familiar sportsbook format—for example, “Alabama −7.5” means Alabama is favored by 7.5 points. Game Shape V2 and V3 are experimental outputs from their separate research pages. V3 adds the available-yards lab measures to V2. Both are displayed for context only and do not affect Golden Model 6, stamps, or the ledger. Model vs market names the team the model rates more favorably than the consensus and shows by how many points. Total gap says whether the model total is higher or lower than the market total. These disagreements are descriptive, not betting recommendations. The model's matchup-specific uncertainty remains much wider than most differences shown here.