Compare two teams' observed control, possession stability, and event leverage. This is a descriptive research view—not a Golden Model 6 projection.
Research viewThe comparison updates immediately; team colors anchor each side without implying a forecast.
Hover, focus, or tap underlined terms for plain-English definitions.
Experimental, opponent-adjusted margin signal from earlier Game Shape profiles.
Home field is estimated inside this research model.
Not a Golden Model 6 projection or a betting recommendation. Opponent adjustments use past games only and remain experimental. The uncertainty is much larger than the displayed margin, especially with early-season samples.
Who held the stronger game state over time?
How consistently did offensive drives create value?
Descriptive event effects—not a complete measure of turnover dependency or repeatable skill.
A reading of the observed sample, without naming a projected winner.
Most recent five games currently in the Game Shape 2 file.
Uses chronological play-by-play and a win-probability model trained only on earlier seasons. It summarizes sustained control and score-state movement. It is not reconstructed from final box-score totals.
Labels use classification version 2.1. “Back-and-forth” requires both teams to hold meaningful control and control to change sides at least twice. Movement between contested and opponent-controlled states alone does not qualify.
Comebacks and collapses require actual within-game state changes. Turnover leverage, non-offensive scoring, and fourth-down WPA identify high-impact events. They do not prove that a team is dependent on those events, nor that those events will repeat.
None of the values on this page are inputs to Golden Model 6. This page is an experimental research layer and cannot alter production projections or stamped forecasts.
Game Shape 2 · experimental research dashboard · data generated from CFBD play-by-play and drive records